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Forex Today: USD cheers Fed’s policy repricing, Gulf tensions rise, and Oil surges

  • US dollar index rises on falling odds of aggressive Fed rate cuts.
  • Oil surges on escalating Gulf tensions.
  • All eyes on trade and geopolitical developments.

Here is what you need to know to start your day on Monday, July 22nd, European session: 

- US dollar firmed up across the board on a likely smaller Fed rate cut, Gulf tensions stoked safe-haven demand, Treasury yields were soggy, Asian equities slipped.

- Japan's Abe won the upper house election but fell short of 2/3rd ‘Super Majority’ to needed to amend the nation's pacifist constitution, USD/JPY re-attempted 108.00.

- Trade: Some Chinese companies are seeking new purchases of US agricultural products, S. Korea-Japan trade concerns loom.

- UK: All eyes on new UK PM election. FinMin Hammond to quit if Johnson becomes the PM. Cable hovered around 1.2500.

- Oil prices rallied on escalating UK-Iran tensions over 'hostile act' of UK tankers seizure by Iran. The UK weighing response to Iran Gulf crisis with few good options.

- Gold was lifted by Gulf tensions, but upside capped by dollar gains.

- Cryptocurrencies consolidated in tight ranges. Bitcoin unmotivated below 11k.

Key events to watch

 

USD/CHF appears neutral/negative for the time being – Commerzbank

According to Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, USD/CHF could have topped in the 0.9967/81 band. Key Quotes “USD/CHF our v
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AUD/USD still aims for 0.7110 – UOB

FX Strategists at UOB Group still see AUD/USD testing the 0.7110 region in the near term. Key Quotes 24-hour view: “Last Friday, we held the view that
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